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The Timing of Activist Returns

Time:2017-01-09 10:45:03  Hits:[]

This paper models the timing of Activist returns using a Stackelberg equilibrium. Empirical evidence supports this model with Activists’ returns significantly positively related to the S&P 500 return, CRB index return, unemployment rate, and the size anomaly. Activists negotiate higher returns during weaker economic time periods. Activist returns are, also, positively related to the size effect due to Activists higher negotiating leverage against smaller firms. Activist Hedge Fund returns are related to the economic cycle. In this Stackelberg model, the Activist is the leader and the management of the target firm chooses their reaction after the Activist has made their decision.
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