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Predicting the Critical Time of Financial Bubbles
Detecting and predicting financial bubbles have become crucially important because of the economic significance of endogenous market crashes

Kwangwon Ahn, Jacqueline B. Dai, Domenico Tarzia and Fan Zhang

Working Paper | No. 2016008 |

Keywords: Critical time, Bubbles, Log-periodic, power law Econophysics

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Bequest and Moral Hazard in Family
Observed bequest patterns of widely diverse societies are polarized into equigeniture (dividing bequests equally) and unigeniture (giving all to one child)

Insook Lee

Working Paper | No. 2016007 |

Keywords: Bequest motive, Unigeniture, Equigeniture

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Sticky Dividends: A New Explanation
This study proposes a generalized partial adjustment model of dividends in which managers set target dividends based on adaptively-formed earnings prospects

Chang Yong Ha, Hyun Joong Im, Ya Kang

Working Paper | No. 2016006 |

Keywords: Payout policy, Speed of adjustment, Dividend dynamics, Adaptive expectations

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Training, Skill-Upgrading and Permanent Migration: Evidence from China
The massive rural-to-urban migration is one of the most important features of China’s labor market during the past decades

Qing Wang, Ting Ren, Ti Liu

Working Paper | No. 2016005 |

Keywords: Human capital, Migration, Skill-upgrading, Training

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Collective Behavior in Corporate Bankruptcies and Business Cycle
We investigate collective behavior in corporate bankruptcies and its relationship with business cycle

Kwangwon Ahn, Jacqueline B. Dai, Chang Yong Ha and Basak Yakis-Douglas

Working Paper | No. 2016004 |

Keywords: Collective behavior,Corporate bankruptcy,Business cycle,Power law distribution,Agent- based model

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Uncertainty, Major Investments, and Capital Structure Dynamics
This study examines the effects of uncertainty on firms’ capital structure dynamics, finding that high-uncertainty firms have substantially lower target leverage while those firms’ leverage adjustment speeds increase only if they are over-levered

Chang Yong Ha, Hyun Joong Im, Kose John and Janghoon Shon

Working Paper | No. 2016003 |

Keywords: Uncertainty, Leverage, Capital structure dynamics, Major investments

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Investment Spike Financing
This is one of the most comprehensive studies of corporate finance to date, which employs filtering techniques to distinguish between the financing of routine investments and “investment spikes ”

Hyun Joong Im, Colin Mayer, Oren Sussman

Working Paper | No. 2016002 |

Keywords: Capital structure, Corporate finance, Lumpy investment, Investment spikes

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Economic Policy Uncertainty and Peer Effects in Corporate Investment Policy: Evidence from China
This study investigates whether peer firms affect corporate investment policies, using accounting and stock market data of Chinese manufacturing firms over the period 1999-2013

Hyun Joong Im, Ya Kang, Young Joon Park

Working Paper | No. 2016001 |

Keywords: Corporate investment policy, Peer effects, Economic policy uncertainty, Underinvestment

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Public Pension Privatization and Economic Volatility over the Business Cycle
This paper examines the effects of privatizing pay-as-you-go public pensions on economic and welfare responses to aggregate productivity shocks

Insook Lee

Working Paper | No. 2015009 |

Keywords: Public pension privatization, Volatility, Responsiveness to aggregate shocks

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Product Market Competition and Value of Innovation: Evidence from US Patent Data
This study investigates the relationship between product market competition and market value of innovation using firm-level patent data of US firms over the period 1977-2005

Hyun Joong Im, Young Joon Park and Janghoon Shon

Working Paper | No. 2015008 |

Keywords: Innovation, Product Market Competition, Value of Innovation, Tariff Cuts

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