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Time Varying Correlations and Casualties between Stock and Foreign Exchange Markets: Evidence from China, Japan and Korea
2016-06-23 17:08:18
by Young K. Park, Sungkyunkwan University

Wednesday, June 22, 2016 | 2:00 - 3:30 PM | Room 337, HSBC Business School


Abstract


This paper examines the time varyingrelationship between stock and foreign exchange markets for China, Japan and Korea for the period Jan.2005 to Nov.2013. The relationships differ amongthe three countries and overtime. While, there is no evidence of a significant and consistent patternof causality between the two market segments in China for the whole sample, there is some evidence for causality mostly from foreign exchange to stock market during major crisis periods. For Japan,we find asignificant causality from foreign exchange to stock market for the whole sample. In contrast, there is a strong causality from stock to foreign exchange market in Korea. In addition, Markov regime analyses reveal that market volatility contributes to foreign exchange market information leadership in Japan and Korea, whereas foreign investor activities add to stock market leadership in Korea.