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China’s Monetary Transmission and Systemic Risk: A Role of Interbank Bond Markets
2022-11-16 10:56:00
We study the role of interbank bond markets in China’s interest-rate based monetary policy transmission and its implications for systemic risks. By constructing a bank-panel dataset, we find that wholesale funding via interbank certificates of deposit not only facilitates policy interest rates to transmit into loan by non-state banks, but also leads to fast growth in their financial fragility as an unintended consequence. Accordingly, non-state banks with a heavier exposure to wholesale funding witness a larger increase in systemic risks in response to negative shocks to the economy since 2018. We advance a theoretical explanation of our empirical findings and quantify the trade-off of banking regulation on wholesale funding between the effectiveness of monetary policy transmission and exposure to systemic risks within this framework.